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The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction
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The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction (Paperback)

£10.99
UK delivery within 5 days

Synopsis

Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society. In "The Signal and the Noise", the "New York Times" political forecaster Nate Silver, who accurately predicted the results of every single state in the 2012 US election, reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, he takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can use information in a smarter way amid a noise of data - and make better predictions in our own lives.

Science & MathematicsMathematicsProbability & statisticsScience & MathematicsScience: general issuesPopular science Publisher: Penguin Books Ltd Publication Date: 18/04/2013 ISBN-13: 9780141975658  Details: Type: Paperback Format: Books
Availability: UK delivery within 5 days Add to Basket

Nate Silver is a statistician and political forecaster at The New York Times. In 2012, he correctly predicted the outcome of 50 out of 50 states during the US presidential election, trumping the professional pollsters and pundits. He was named one of TIME's 100 Most Influential People in the world, and one of Rolling Stones' top Agents of Change. He lives in Brooklyn, New York.

More books by Nate Silver

Customer Reviews

Thought-provoking and challenging.

- 02/07/2013
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Staff Choice

I have to admit it: I’m not very good with numbers. Nate Silver, however, is. This is a really insightful book that teaches one as innumerate as I to think probabilistically more with each chapter.

George, Charing Cross Road

 

Charing Cross Rd Bookshop - 05/04/2016

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