How to Predict the Unpredictable

How to Predict the Unpredictable: The Art of Outsmarting Almost Everyone

Non-Fiction, Education, Smart Thinking | Paperback Published on: 01/06/2015
£9.99
Free UK delivery on orders over £25, otherwise £2.99
Online orders are coming soon, please use Click & Collect or visit us in shop today.
Make and edit your lists in your account
Check click & collect stock near you
Collect today: Pay in shop

Synopsis

We are hard-wired to believe that the world is more predictable than it is. We chase ‘winning streaks’ that are often just illusions, and we are all too predictable exactly when we try hardest not to be.

In the 1970s, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky coined the phrase ‘representativeness’ to describe the psychology of this behaviour. Since then representativeness has been used by auditors to catch people fiddling their tax returns and by hedge fund managers to reap billions from the emotions of small investors. Now Poundstone for the first time makes these techniques fun, easy, and profitable for everyone, in the everyday situations that matter. You’ll learn how to tackle multiple choice tests, what internet passwords to avoid, how to up your odds of winning the office Premier League sweepstakes, and the best ways to invest your money.

  • Publisher: Oneworld Publications
  • ISBN: 9781780747200
  • Number of pages: 304
  • Dimensions: 198 x 129 x 22 mm